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MLB National League Cy Young Race 2025 – Odds on the Next Master of the Mound

BEOmod628
StatusOpen
CategorySport
Published17 Dec 2025 08:09 UTC
Last Updated20 Dec 2025 20:00 UTC

LEADERBOARD

# Bet options Chance to win Change Odds Return on 100 Related
1 1 Implied Projected Winner Paul Skennes 31.25% - 3.200 320
2 Paul Skennes 25% - 4.000 400
3 Zach Wheeler 10% - 10.000 1000
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9.09% - 11.000 1100
5 Zach Wheeler 8.33% - 12.000 1200
6 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6.67% - 15.000 1500
7 Spencer Strider 5.88% - 17.000 1700
8 Spencer Strider 5.26% - 19.000 1900
9 Micchael King 4.76% - 21.000 2100
10 Micchael King 4.17% - 24.000 2400

Event information

Overview of the Award

The National League (NL) Cy Young Award is bestowed annually upon the most outstanding pitcher in the National League, as voted by members of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America (BBWAA). It honors dominance, consistency, and excellence on the mound.
Learn more about its history and past winners on Wikipedia:
Cy Young Award – Wikipedia


2024 NL Cy Young Winner: Chris Sale

  • Pitcher: Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves

  • Notable Achievements:

    • Awarded the 2024 NL Cy Young after capturing the pitching Triple Crown (most wins, lowest ERA, most strikeouts in the league).

    • Finished the season 18–3, with a 2.38 ERA and 225 strikeouts.

    • This marked his first NL Cy Young, and he received the majority of first-place votes.

    • Sale’s resurgence earned him multiple honors, including Comeback Player and Gold Glove.
      (ESPN recap, MLB.com, BBWAA summary)


2025 NL Cy Young Betting Landscape

Here’s a look at the leading contenders and market odds for the 2025 NL Cy Young Award:

  • Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh Pirates) – Overwhelming favorite with odds ranging from –5000 to –3333, giving him a strong perceived lead.

  • Cristopher Sánchez (Philadelphia Phillies) – The clear challenger, typically placed around +1100 to +1400.

  • Freddy Peralta (Milwaukee Brewers) – A distant option at about +4000.
    (ESPN betting update, JustBaseball odds, FOX Sports odds table)


Key Betting Considerations

When placing bets on the upcoming NL Cy Young winner, consider these factors:

  • Statistical Dominance: ERA, FIP, bWAR and innings pitched are critical metrics.

  • Team Context: Support from the offense and bullpen can influence win totals (less valued by modern voters but still part of the narrative).

  • Advanced Metrics Matter: Voters are increasingly leaning on FIP, WHIP, and WAR to determine value.

  • Recent Momentum: Players like Skenes, who boast elite metrics and consistency, are gaining attention.

  • Potential Upsets: Players with strong recent surges—like Peralta—have underdog appeal if trends shift.


Staying Updated

Stay ahead of the curve with these trusted resources:

  • Performance Analysis:

    • BrewCrewBall provides insights on Freddy Peralta’s standout 2025 season.
      Peralta’s Cy Young Case

    • BucsDugout analyzes Paul Skenes’ path to clinching the award.
      Skenes’ Case

    • Washington Post critiques traditional metrics like pitcher wins, using Skenes as a modern case study.
      Modern Stats vs Wins


Quick Summary

  • Award: National League Cy Young Award (most outstanding NL pitcher)

  • 2024 Winner: Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) – Dominated with Triple Crown performance

  • 2025 Favorites:

    • Paul Skenes (PIT) – clear market favorite

    • Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) – main competitor

    • Freddy Peralta (MIL) – long-shot pick

  • Betting Factors: Dominant stats, team support, advanced metrics, recent performance trends

  • Top Sources: ESPN, FOX Sports, JustBaseball, Brewers coverage, Pirates analysis, Washington Post sports metrics

Projection Chart

This projection chart for BetMod 628 shows the Top 5 wagering options for "Sport" at 2025-08-27 18:26:11. The current order displaying on the Chart above is "Paul Skennes" the projected winner, "Paul Skennes" in second place, "Zach Wheeler" in 3rd place right now, "Yoshinobu Yamamoto" showing up at 4th from the top, "Zach Wheeler" showing up at 5th from the top.

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